CBS

The first mock draft you do following the NFL Scouting Combine can be tricky. Yes, you have a lot of new data to help determine which players are more likely to be selected than others, but you don't want the recency bias to overwhelm your judgment. Plus, with the combine being such an event now, the hype can be overwhelming. You're likely to see Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy show up earlier in mocks after he ran a 4.21 40-yard dash because a 4.21 40 is incredible, and everybody has talked about it. What they haven't talked about nearly as much is why the 172-pound Worthy, who finished 23rd among 43 college receivers with at least 100 targets last season in yards per target (8.5) and ran a go route or a hitch on 40% of his routes, didn't go through any of the drills. The combine is a useful tool, but it should only be used to confirm or contest what you see on tape. I did my best to keep that in mind while putting together my third mock of the spring.